Journal
Metropolitan Journal of Academic and Applied Research
MJAAR
Structural Suffocation and Asymmetric Judgment: The Cuban Embargo as Paradigm in the Political Economy of Coercion
Arinaitwe Julius, Musiimenta Nancy
| Journal | Metropolitan Journal of Academic and Applied Research (MJAAR) |
| Volume / Issue | Vol. 5, No. 3 |
| Published | 31 March 2026 |
| ISSN | 3006-6417 |
Abstract
This study examined the structural mechanisms and asymmetric normative frameworks through which comprehensive economic sanctions, using the United States embargo against Cuba (1962–present) as the primary paradigmatic case, function as instruments of political coercion in the contemporary international order. Drawing on a cross-national dataset of 63 sanctioned states spanning the period 1990–2023, the study employed a multi-method quantitative approach integrating univariate descriptive statistics, bivariate Pearson correlation analysis, binary logistic regression modelling, and systematic data visualization to interrogate the relationships between coercion intensity, economic performance, human development outcomes, and the duration of sanction regimes. The principal findings revealed a statistically significant and strongly negative correlation between the Economic Coercion Index (ECI) and GDP per capita (r = −0.712, p < 0.001), Human Development Index scores (r = −0.681, p < 0.001), and trade volume as a proportion of GDP (r = −0.638, p < 0.001), while demonstrating significant positive associations with poverty rates (r = 0.694, p < 0.001) and inflation (r = 0.521, p < 0.001). The logistic regression model, which demonstrated strong predictive validity (AUC = 0.874; Nagelkerke R² = 0.612), confirmed that coercion intensity, duration of sanctions, and GDP per capita were the most powerful independent predictors of severe economic contraction, controlling for trade openness and institutional repression. The comparative panel analysis across eight case states, including Cuba, Iran, North Korea, and Venezuela, demonstrated that comprehensive sanctions of prolonged duration uniformly produced the most severe socioeconomic outcomes, disproportionately affecting civilian populations rather than governing elites. The study concluded that the Cuban embargo, far from constituting a legitimate instrument of democratization or security coercion, operates as a structural mechanism of civilizational suffocation — reinforcing asymmetric international power relations and producing demonstrable human development deficits inconsistent with stated foreign policy objectives. The study recommended multilateral reform of sanctions governance frameworks, the introduction of binding humanitarian carve-out protocols, and the adoption of sunset clauses to enforce periodic evidence-based review of extended embargo regimes.
Keywords
Cuban embargo
economic coercion
sanctions regimes
political economy
human development
asymmetric international relations
logistic regression
comparative sanctions analysis
Cite This Article
Arinaitwe Julius & Musiimenta Nancy (2026). Structural Suffocation and Asymmetric Judgment: The Cuban Embargo as Paradigm in the Political Economy of Coercion. Metropolitan Journal of Academic and Applied Research, 5(3). https://journals.miu.ac.ug/pages/article.php?article_id=320
More in This Issue
View full issue →
31
Say Yes and Learn Later”: Confidence as a Core Competency and the Imperative for Educational Reform in Uganda
self-confidence
educational reform
Uganda
competency-based learning
32
Teaching And Learning With AI: A Critical Assessment Of Uganda's Readiness
Artificial Intelligence
AI Readiness
Uganda Education
ICT Infrastructure
33
The Algorithmic Atom: How Artificial Intelligence Promotes Individualism and Reconfigures the Social Fabric
Artificial intelligence
algorithmic personalization
individualism
social cohesion and echo chambers
34
The Architecture of Commitment in Marriage: A Multidimensional Analysis of Who Commits and Who Does Not
marital commitment
relationship satisfaction
multilevel modelling
psychosocial factors
35
The Burden of Learning: Commercialization, Competition, and the Crippling Cost of Education for Ugandan Households
Education cost
commercialization
household wellbeing
school fees